In today’s disruptive global marketplace, more and more companies are laser focused on supply and demand planning and how to get it right.
This guide explains the two disciplines, their differences, and how they work together. Use the information to build a solid foundation for controlling your inventory in these challenging times.
What is Demand Planning?
Demand planning uses analytics, data, insights, and human experience to make predictions and respond to various business needs. It leverages demand forecasts—not as an end in themselves—but as a tool to highlight opportunities and risks, establish business goals, and support proactive planning across functions.
There are two types of demand planning — unconstrained and constrained. With unconstrained demand forecasting, the planner focuses exclusively on raw demand potential, not factoring in possible constraints like capacity and cash flow. This method determines how much you could sell if supply were not an issue. Constrained forecasting, however, considers these factors, creating a more realistic picture.
Businesses should leverage both unconstrained and constrained demand planning to deliver the most value to consumers while keeping costs down.
Essential Considerations in Demand Planning
Businesses must focus on these four areas of demand planning to succeed during this global unrest.
- Historic product sales: What you’ve sold in the past may indicate what you can expect to sell in the future, although that may not always be true. What’s critical to getting things right is to select the correct historical periods and market and economic conditions.
- Internal trends: Using historical data, identify sales trends for one product or group of products.
- External trends: Some factors that may impact a company’s ability to efficiently meet its customers’ needs. These include competition, sociocultural issues, legal factors, technological changes, the economy, and the political environment. (The last two are particularly critical today.)
- Promotional events: When companies run sales, events, or promotions, sales often increase. Demand planning must account for this as well.
Accurately forecasting demand is complex, but businesses must master it during challenging times like today.
What is Supply Planning?
As we covered, demand planning is the process of predicting consumer demand.
Supply planning, by contrast, determines how a business will fulfill demand within the organization’s financial and service benchmarks. It must factor in things like inventory production and logistics. Specifically, it must consider factors like on-hand inventory quantities, open and planned customer orders, minimum order levels, lead times, production leveling, safety stocks, and projected demand.
The five key functions of supply planning are:
- Business operations is where demand forecasting comes in. Once you’ve calculated the demand, you are able to decide how much inventory you need. At this step, you should know how much product must be ordered and produced.
- Acquisition involves purchasing materials or final products. Buying supplies is a critical part of having adequate inventory on hand. It requires partnering closely with your suppliers — and their suppliers — especially during uncertain times.
- Resource management is where companies ensure adequate resources are available and distributed to the correct locations.
- Workflow of information keeps supply chain management on track by using standardized systems across all departments preventing disconnects.
- Transportation and logistics pull together all the components of planning, buying, manufacturing, storage, and transportation to ensure an adequate supply of items reaches the consumer.
Practicing supply planning effectively can help keep companies successful during challenging times.
Supply Planning Versus Demand Planning
Demand planning and supply planning aren’t two completely different things. They are actually two halves of a whole.
Demand planning aims to predict how much of a product you need to have available to meet consumer demand. Supply planning determines how to meet that demand within your company’s cost and service rules.
Demand impacts supply, and supply is dependent on demand.
You cannot meet demand without sufficient supply. Similarly, you can’t ensure adequate supply without clearly understanding demand, especially in changing times. You need both to keep your business healthy.
The key difference between the two types of planning are the characteristics of the data that fuels them.
Much of the information used for supply planning is internal or comes from sources connected to the company. It involves analyzing production capacity, time constraints, supply costs, delivery times, storage requirements, and other factors. Because you have relatively easy access to — and control over — supply chain data, it is u easier to master the supply side of the supply and demand equation.
Businesses typically have less control over demand data. While some of it is internal, like historical and seasonal sales records, much is external, like economic trends. This makes demand planning less dependable and more challenging than supply planning.
In short, because supply planning uses more defined and owned data points, it is typically more concrete and reliable. It provides practical direction on how you’ll meet consumer needs. By contrast, demand planning uses less definite and owned information. While certain algorithms and data sources are more accurate than others, forecasting always involves some level of prediction. Supply planning and its practical calculations using more reliably sourced data are typically less volatile.
Another way to view supply planning versus demand planning is to compare their ultimate goals. Demand planning delivers predictions that impact supply planning and other business decisions, while supply planning pays off with inventory optimization.
- Predictions: Demand planning considers a wide array of factors to develop as accurate forecasts as possible. Demand predictions inform supply planning and support other business decisions, such as when to offer promotions or find new vendors.
- Optimization: Supply planning determines how you’ll meet projected demand within your organization’s operational constraints and business objectives. It considers available resources and other factors to develop a plan prioritizing efficiency, cost savings, and speed. The supply plan must align fully with company goals and allow it to take action to achieve them. For instance, if an organization wants to reduce costs for a project, a supply plan might recommend buying materials with a slower fulfillment timeframe. This approach wouldn’t be appropriate for a business driven by tight deadlines.
A balanced approach to demand and supply forecasting is essential for ensuring appropriate stock levels without storing extra inventory, but striking that balance looks different for every business. High-quality data is a key component of both planning types, making analytics and robust supply chain management software and systems especially valuable.
Supply Versus Demand Planning: The Final Word
Supply planning and demand planning aren’t competing factors within a company. Instead, they should be viewed as complementary functions that allow businesses to operate more efficiently and effectively. This is especially critical when operating in dynamic and challenging times like today.