Posts Tagged ‘ S&OP ’

The Science of Forecasting

May 31, 2012
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The Science of Forecasting

Tweet We’re familiar with application of the scientific method in certain industries, such as Pharmaceuticals. When a new drug is introduced, we expect that its safety and efficacy has been demonstrated through appropriately controlled experiments. For example, to test a new cold remedy we would find 100 people with colds, randomly give half the new…

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Fundamentals of Demand Planning & Forecasting Book

May 3, 2012
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Fundamentals of Demand Planning & Forecasting Book

Tweet I am pleased to announce the completion of my new book, “Fundamentals of Demand Planning & Forecasting.” To me, this is the most comprehensive book written in the area of demand planning and forecasting, covering practically every topic which a demand planner needs to know. This book discusses not only the different models of…

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Using Shipment History: A Deadly Sin?

April 20, 2012
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Using Shipment History: A Deadly Sin?

Tweet In his article titled “Seven Deadly Sins of Sales Forecasting” in the March 28 edition of APICS extra, Fred Tolbert compiled a useful list of bad practices than can worsen our forecasting, inventory management, and customer service results. I particularly liked Deadly Sin #5: Senior Management Meddling, and wrote about it on The Business…

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My Experience at IBF’s Supply Chain Planning & Forecasting Conference

March 13, 2012
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My Experience at IBF’s Supply Chain Planning & Forecasting Conference

Tweet   This happened to be my first of what I hope to be many encounters with the folks at Institute of Business Forecasting & Planning (IBF) events.  I will never be able to understand how I came to be where I am today in my career, but I am very thankful all the same…

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IBF Scottsdale Seminar on Forecasting

March 7, 2012
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IBF Scottsdale Seminar on Forecasting

Tweet As I write this I am currently flying back from Scottsdale Arizona to Jacksonville Florida after attending IBF’s  Supply Chain Forecasting  & Planning Conference and find myself taking some time to review the last 3 days in my mind. When I arrived in Arizona, I had no idea what to expect. I had never…

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Forecasting Confessions of IBF Conference Attendees

March 5, 2012
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Forecasting Confessions of IBF Conference Attendees

Tweet At last weeks IBF Supply Chain Forecasting & Planning Conference in Scottsdale, AZ, I had the somber responsibility of facilitating three round table sessions on “Worst Practices in Business Forecasting.”  Thirty-eight of the biggest sinners in the forecasting/demand planning profession confessed to a variety of irresponsible and embarrassing behaviors that we can all learn…

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The Forecast for Scottsdale is Golf

February 13, 2012
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The Forecast for Scottsdale is Golf

Tweet There is less than two weeks before the IBF Supply Chain Forecasting  & Planning Conference in Scottsdale, AZ (February 26-28). The annual IBF Golf Outing is on Sunday, February 26. I myself am not a big fan of the sport (It costs too much, takes too long, and requires way too much social interaction). …

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IBF Discussion Group on LinkedIn: Changing Sales Forecast in the Same Month and Why?

January 18, 2012
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IBF Discussion Group on LinkedIn: Changing Sales Forecast in the Same Month and Why?

Tweet For those of you on LinkedIn, be sure to sign up for the Institute of Business Forecasting and Planning discussion group.  This is an active (and addictive) forum for sharing information and perspectives on a wide variety of forecasting & planning topics. The following question was posted by  Reno DiGenova, the VP – Replenishment,…

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Reducing the Heartburn From Change Management for a New Forecasting & Planning Process

January 5, 2012
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Reducing the Heartburn From Change Management for a New Forecasting & Planning Process

Tweet Have you ever pitched a new idea or process improvement where everyone agreed, but  you kept running into road blocks once you began the implementation? It seems that most everyone believes in “change” until it starts to affect them. The more you can manage or mitigate change, the more successful you will be.  There…

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Never Good Enough: The Blind Spot in Forecasting & Planning

December 21, 2011
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Never Good Enough: The Blind Spot in Forecasting & Planning

Tweet Motivational speaker Lou Tice called it a “Scotoma”—an area of partial alteration to one’s field of vision.  Allstate Insurance represents something similar in one of it’s television commercials featuring a man by the name of “Mayhem”.  In this particular ad we see Mayhem clinging to the side of an unsuspecting woman’s SUV claiming to…

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