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Below are the updated forecasts of coronavirus cases and deaths in the USA and New York City. The forecasts are daily rolling forecasts, looking 2 months ahead. Alongside the forecast, you will find actuals and forecast accuracy expressed as MAPE. This rolling forecast is updated weekly.

These forecasts are generated by Dr. Chaman L. Jain, Professor of Economics at St. John’s University, and author of the book, Fundamentals of Demand Planning & Forecasting. For further information on this project, including forecast assumptions, click here.

 

TABLE 1

FORECASTS OF CORONAVIRUS CASES AND DEATHS

USA NEW YORK STATE
Date Accumulated Total Cases Accumulated
Total Deaths
Accumulated Total Cases Accumulated
Total Deaths
18-May
19-May
20-May
21-May
22-May
23-May
24-May
25-May
26-May
27-May
28-May
29-May
30-May
31-May
1-Jun
2-Jun
3-Jun
4-Jun
5-Jun
6-Jun
7-Jun
8-Jun
9-Jun
10-Jun
11-Jun
12-Jun
13-Jun
14-Jun
15-Jun
16-Jun
17-Jun
18-Jun
19-Jun
20-Jun
21-Jun
22-Jun
23-Jun
24-Jun
25-Jun
26-Jun
27-Jun
28-Jun
29-Jun
30-Jun
1-Jul
2-Jul
3-Jul
4-Jul
5-Jul
6-Jul
7-Jul
8-Jul
9-Jul
10-Jul
11-Jul
12-Jul
13-Jul
14-Jul
15-Jul
16-Jul
17-Jul
18-Jul
19-Jul
20-Jul
21-Jul
22-Jul
23-Jul
24-Jul
25-Jul
26-Jul
27-Jul
28-Jul
29-Jul
30-Jul
31-Jul
1,546,767
1,566,108
1,585,692
1,605,520
1,625,596
1,645,923
1,666,505
1,683,297
1,700,259
1,717,391
1,734,696
1,752,176
1,769,831
1,787,665
1,802,370
1,817,197
1,832,146
1,847,217
1,862,413
1,877,734
1,893,180
1,906,059
1,919,025
1,932,080
1,945,223
1,958,456
1,971,779
1,985,192
1,996,455
2,007,782
2,019,173
2,030,629
2,042,149
2,053,735
2,065,387
2,075,242
2,085,144
2,095,094
2,105,090
2,115,135
2,125,228
2,135,368
2,144,009
2,152,685
2,161,397
2,170,143
2,178,925
2,187,743
2,196,596
2,204,181
2,211,793
2,219,431
2,227,095
2,234,786
2,242,503
2,250,247
2,256,464
2,262,698
2,268,949
2,275,217
2,281,503
2,287,806
2,294,126
2,299,070
2,304,024
2,308,989
2,313,964
2,318,950
2,323,947
2,328,955
2,332,769
2,336,590
2,340,416
2,344,249
2,348,088
92,348
93,735
95,139
96,561
98,001
99,459
100,935
102,106
103,290
104,485
105,692
106,911
108,143
109,387
110,372
111,366
112,368
113,378
114,396
115,423
116,458
117,277
118,102
118,932
119,768
120,609
121,456
122,309
122,983
123,661
124,343
125,028
125,717
126,411
127,108
127,658
128,212
128,767
129,326
129,887
130,450
131,017
131,464
131,912
132,363
132,815
133,269
133,725
134,183
134,544
134,906
135,270
135,634
136,000
136,368
136,736
137,026
137,318
137,610
137,902
138,196
138,490
138,785
139,018
139,251
139,484
139,718
139,953
140,188
140,423
140,609
140,794
140,980
141,166
141,353
351,520
352,925
354,336
355,752
357,174
358,602
360,035
361,114
362,197
363,283
364,372
365,464
366,560
367,658
368,485
369,314
370,144
370,976
371,810
372,646
373,484
374,114
374,744
375,376
376,009
376,643
377,278
377,915
378,393
378,871
379,350
379,830
380,310
380,791
381,273
381,635
381,997
382,359
382,722
383,085
383,448
383,812
384,085
384,358
384,631
384,905
385,179
385,453
385,727
385,933
386,139
386,345
386,551
386,757
386,963
387,170
387,325
387,480
387,635
387,790
387,945
388,100
388,256
388,372
388,489
388,605
388,722
388,839
388,955
389,072
389,160
389,247
389,335
389,422
389,510
22,725
22,832
22,939
23,046
23,154
23,262
23,371
23,453
23,535
23,617
23,700
23,783
23,866
23,949
24,012
24,074
24,137
24,200
24,263
24,327
24,390
24,438
24,486
24,533
24,581
24,629
24,677
24,726
24,762
24,798
24,834
24,870
24,907
24,943
24,980
25,007
25,034
25,062
25,089
25,117
25,144
25,172
25,192
25,213
25,234
25,254
25,275
25,296
25,317
25,332
25,348
25,363
25,379
25,394
25,410
25,426
25,437
25,449
25,461
25,472
25,484
25,496
25,508
25,516
25,525
25,534
25,543
25,552
25,561
25,569
25,576
25,583
25,589
25,596
25,603